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Cold weather may increase blood pressure
'Bad weather could raise your blood pressure and even kill you,' is the unnecessarily alarmist headline in the Daily Mail. It reports on a large, complex study that looked for any association between changes in weather and blood pressure rates.
The research focused on patients at a blood pressure clinic in Glasgow and looked at two consecutive visits the patients made within a 12-month period. The researchers combined these findings with Met Office weather data from the time of these visits to assess whether changes in patients' blood pressure were related to changes in the weather.
They found that decreases in temperature and sunshine, or increases in rainfall and frost, were associated with a slight increase in blood pressure.
In the longer term, individuals whose blood pressure seemed sensitive to decreases in temperature and sunshine had slight increases in blood pressure. They also seemed to have overall shorter survival than people insensitive to weather changes.
We know that our bodies respond to temperature changes, so it is plausible that temperature could influence blood pressure. But factors other than the weather may have had a role to play in the blood pressure results seen.
It is also important to point out that the minor increases in blood pressure detected by the study could in many cases be compensated for by taking more exercise or improving your diet.
Where did the story come from?
The study was carried out by researchers from the University of Glasgow. One of the study authors was supported by a Wellcome Trust Capacity Strengthening Strategic Award to the Public Health Foundation of India and a consortium of UK universities.
It was published in the peer-reviewed Journal of the American Heart Association.
The quality of the Daily Mail's reporting of this study is mixed. On the negative side, it presents an over-simplistic conclusion that cannot be drawn from the complex analysis used in this study. The claim made in the headline that 'bad weather...can kill you' is needlessly sensationalised.
On the plus side, its story does contain useful advice from a spokesperson from Blood Pressure UK: "Until we can control the weather, we can still rely on more traditional ways of controlling our blood pressure, such as eating more fruit and vegetables, less salt and alcohol, and taking more exercise."
What kind of research was this?
The researchers say that there is growing evidence that outdoor temperature has an influence on blood pressure, with blood pressure being higher in winter and lower in summer.
This is believed to be because the constriction of blood vessels at colder temperatures increases blood pressure. However, it is unclear whether the temperature-related response differs among individuals.
The current study aimed to examine people's individual changes in blood pressure in response to a range of weather patterns. The researchers also wanted to see whether this was predictive of longer term blood pressure control and mortality.
What did the research involve?
The study included 16,010 people from the Glasgow Blood Pressure Clinic (47% male) who had been referred by their GP in order to control their high blood pressure.
Information on the monthly average weather for the west of Scotland was obtained from the UK Met Office. The Met Office has used a consistent method to analyse climate patterns since 1961, and can provide weather for square kilometre grid points across the UK. Information on four aspects of weather was used in the study:
- air frost
- air temperature
- rainfall
- sunshine
Each visit every person made to the Blood Pressure Clinic was mapped to the mean monthly weather of the west of Scotland. Mean monthly measurements for each of the four aspects of weather were ranked from the lowest to the highest measurement, and then split into four equal groups called quartiles. The lowest quartile (Q1) contained the lowest 25% of measurements and the highest quartile (Q4) contained the highest 25% of measurements.
For each person, the researchers looked at pairs of consecutive clinic visits that were at least one month apart but within the same 12-month period. They were interested in pairs of visits where weather either remained constant (both visits in the same weather quartile) or where weather was very different (one visit in the lowest quartile and one visit in the highest quartile). They categorised the weather for these clinic visits as:
- Q1 to Q4, where weather for the first clinic visit was in the lowest quartile and the subsequent visit was in the highest quartile
- Q4 to Q1, where weather for the first clinic visit was in the highest quartile and the subsequent visit was in the lowest quartile
- Qn to Qn, where both the first and the second clinic visits were in the same weather quartile – there was no change in weather patterns
For each individual, the researchers examined changes in their blood pressure and heart rate between the two visits, and looked at how the size and direction of this change (up or down) related to the change in weather.
The researchers used the General Register Office for Scotland to obtain information on deaths among the participants and causes of death. Mortality information was available up to 2011, allowing up to 35 years of follow-up.
Analyses were adjusted for factors known to influence blood pressure (confounders), including:
- age
- smoking
- alcohol
- high body mass index (BMI)
- kidney disease
What were the basic results?
The average age of individuals at their first clinic visit was 51 years, and most were overweight (mean BMI was 28). The average length of follow-up for each person was 6.5 years.
The researchers found that when there was consistent weather between the two clinic visits (Qn to Qn), there was:
- an average 2.1% decrease in systolic blood pressure (the upper figure of a blood pressure measurement) with consistent air frost
- a 2.2% decrease with consistent temperature
- a 1.7% decrease with consistent rainfall
- a 2.2% decrease with consistent sunshine
For change from high to low weather extremes, there was:
- about a 2% increase in systolic blood pressure with a decrease in temperature and sunshine
- no significant change in systolic blood pressure with a decrease in air frost and rainfall
For change from low to high weather extremes, there was:
- a 1.4% increase in systolic blood pressure with an increase in air frost
- a 0.8% increase in blood pressure for an increase in rainfall
- there was no consistent pattern in blood pressure with a change in temperature from low to high
When the researchers compared the blood pressure changes seen with consistent weather patterns, a change in the weather from the highest to lowest quartile was associated with about a 6% increase in systolic blood pressure when there was a decline in temperature and sunshine, and about a 4% increase in systolic blood pressure when there was a decline in air frost.
Compared with consistent weather, a change from the lowest to highest quartile was associated with 2-6.6% increases in systolic blood pressure for all four weather characteristics assessed.
Looking at longer term changes over five or more years, people whose blood pressure changed when there was a decline in temperature experienced a 2.68mmHg increase in their systolic blood pressure, and a 1.84mmHg increase in their diastolic blood pressure (the lower figure in a blood pressure measurement), compared with people whose blood pressure seemed insensitive to temperature change.
A similar 1.31mmHg increase in systolic blood pressure and a 1.22mmHg increase in diastolic blood pressure was seen for people who were sensitive to a decline in sunshine.
Looking at survival data, people who were insensitive to temperature or sunlight change seemed to have longer survival than people who were sensitive to a decline in temperature or sunlight.
There were no significant longer term differences in blood pressure or survival between people insensitive to temperature or sunlight change, or in people sensitive to an increase in weather extremes.
How did the researchers interpret the results?
The researchers have concluded that for the first time they have demonstrated the extent of alterations in blood pressure between consecutive clinic visits associated with changes in weather in people with high blood pressure.
They have extrapolated that knowing a person's blood pressure response to weather could help prevent doctors making unnecessary changes to blood pressure medication.
Conclusion
This study has used a complex method of analysis in order to look at how individuals' blood pressure at consecutive visits within a one-year period varied according to changes in the weather.
The study benefits from its large population sample and long follow-up. The blood pressure measurements taken at this specialist clinic are also likely to be reliable.
Our bodies do respond to changes in temperature and it is biologically plausible that temperature can affect our blood pressure. The researchers have adjusted for many factors known to influence blood pressure, such as age, high BMI and kidney disease.
However, it is still difficult to say with certainty that all blood pressure changes seen in people between clinic visits were solely down to changes in the weather. For example, the researchers did not have complete information about the blood pressure medications being used by the patients, or their levels of physical activity. These factors could also be influencing the findings.
Another limitation is that blood pressure would have been recorded inside the clinics and may not be representative of what blood pressure would have been if it had been taken outside, with full exposure to the weather.
The research was conducted in individuals from the Glasgow area and it is difficult to say whether similar responses would be seen in people in other locations, particularly people living in vastly different climates.
Similarly, the study only looked at people with high blood pressure. It is not clear whether people with normal blood pressure also experience similar changes in their blood pressure in response to weather changes.
The individuals in the study seem to have been variably sensitive to different changes in the weather. It is not yet clear exactly how a person's blood pressure treatment could be individualised according to their sensitivity to weather change, and whether this would successfully reduce blood pressure variability.
One final important point to make is that although we have no control over the weather, we can control a wide range of factors that contribute towards high blood pressure, such as:
- the amount of exercise you take
- diet – if your blood pressure is high, you should cut down on salt, saturated fat and sugar, and eat plenty of fruit and vegetables
- quitting smoking, if you smoke
- the amount of alcohol you drink
Read more about proven lifestyle changes you can make to reduce your blood pressure risk.
Analysis by Bazian. Edited by NHS Choices. Follow Behind the Headlines on Twitter.
Links To The Headlines
Bad weather could raise your blood pressure and even kill you. Daily Mail, May 21 2013
Chilly days can kill by raising blood pressure. Daily Express, May 22 2013
Links To Science
Aubinière-Robb L, Jeemon P, Hastie CE, et al. Blood Pressure Response to Patterns of Weather Fluctuations and Effect on Mortality. Hypertension. Published online May 6 2013
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Could a mother's lack of iodine harm her child's IQ?
“Mothers’ diets may harm IQs of two babies in three,” warns The Independent. The newspaper reports on its front page that iodine deficiency is widespread among pregnant women.
Iodine is recognised to play a role in the healthy development of the baby’s brain and nervous system while in the womb and the World Health Organization recommends that pregnant women eat iodine-rich foods.
Severe lack of iodine is one of the leading causes of brain damage in the developing world. But a new study, reported in most of the media today, suggests that even mild-to-moderate iodine deficiency during pregnancy may be associated with poorer cognitive function in the child.
In this large study, the iodine levels of pregnant women were measured, and their child’s IQ at age eight and reading ability at age nine were tested.
The researchers found that children of women who didn’t get enough iodine were more likely to be in the lowest quartile for verbal IQ, reading accuracy and reading comprehension. However, there was no significant difference in overall IQ.
A study of this kind has limitations, for example the fact that it relies on measurements being taken at a single point in time. Also, although the researchers adjusted for many factors that may have influenced the relationship (for example, parental lifestyle and socioeconomic factors), the study cannot prove a direct cause and effect relationship between a mother’s iodine consumption during pregnancy and her child’s cognitive ability. It is also not clear whether the differences seen in the children’s verbal and reading skills would translate into ‘real-world’ problems for these children.
Nevertheless, the study does highlight the need for pregnant women to get enough iodine during pregnancy.
Where did the story come from?
The study was carried out by researchers from the University of Surrey and the University of Bristol. No specific funding was reported for the current study, but researchers were supported by the Waterloo Foundation, the Commission of the European Communities, the US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration and Wassen International. The latter is a company that makes and sells iodine supplements. However, none of these organisations had any role in how the study was conducted or how the collected data was interpreted.
This study used information taken from a much larger ongoing cohort study known as the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), which is looking at the health outcomes of children born during the 1990s. The ALSPAC study is supported by the Medical Research Council, the Wellcome Trust and the University of Bristol.
The study was published in the peer-reviewed medical journal The Lancet.
The media reporting is generally representative of the study, although the Mail Online headline writers got into a serious muddle. When they first published the story they used the headline “Drinking organic milk in pregnancy is 'vital for the baby's future brain power'". This was then changed later in the day – "Drinking organic milk in pregnancy could be harming baby’s IQ".
Neither claim is supported by this study. The study did not assess women’s dietary iodine intake from different sources. So it is not possible to say how many women drank organic milk and whether those who did were more likely to be in the iodine deficient group.
What kind of research was this?
The researchers say that the World Health Organization considers iodine deficiency to be “the single most important preventable cause of brain damage” worldwide. Iodine has a role in regulating the thyroid gland, and thyroid hormones have a role in brain and nervous system development.
The researchers say that changes to dairy farming after the 1930s increased the amount of iodine in milk in the UK. After this and due to the reduction in cases of goitre associated with thyroid problems in the UK it was considered that iodine intake in the UK was sufficient.
However, some more recent UK studies have suggested that mild iodine deficiency may be quite common among adolescent schoolgirls and pregnant women.
The current study used data collected from participants in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) cohort study to see whether there was an association between pregnancy iodine levels and child cognitive performance. The researchers speculated that women with lower iodine levels during pregnancy would have children with poorer cognitive outcomes.
What did the research involve?
The ALSPAC cohort was eligible to all pregnant women in southwest England with a due date between April 1991 and December 1992.
A total of 14,541 pregnant women were enrolled and 13,988 of their children survived for at least 12 months.
The researchers selected 1,040 women for whom they could measure iodine in the first trimester of pregnancy (up to 12 weeks) and their child’s IQ when they were eight years old.
Iodine was measured in a single urine sample. Urinary iodine levels are said to be a good indicator of iodine levels in the body as 90% of ingested iodine is excreted into the urine. However, the results would have been more accurate if the researchers had been able to measure iodine based on 24-hour urine collection.
To try to reduce the impact of this issue, the researchers looked at the iodine-to-creatinine ratio, which is said to be a good way to get a more accurate iodine measurement. The researchers defined adequate iodine as an iodine-creatinine ratio of 150 micrograms or more per litre. Iodine deficiency was sub-categorised as mild-to-moderate (50 to 150) or severe (less than 50).
Child IQ at the age of eight was assessed using a validated scale (the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children). At the age of nine psychologists also assessed children’s reading speed, accuracy and comprehension.
The researchers looked at the association between pregnancy iodine status and IQ at the age of eight and reading at the age of nine. They adjusted analyses for a wide range of confounders including:
- mother’s age
- mother’s ‘parenting score’ (assessed by looking at cognitive stimulation of the baby, parental education and socioeconomic status)
- home environment, including baby’s emotional and cognitive environment
- family adversity
- stressful events during pregnancy
- infant birth weight and prematureness
- breastfeeding history
- maternal smoking and alcohol intake
- other dietary factors during pregnancy, including intakes of omega-3 fatty acids and iron
What were the basic results?
The researchers found that, overall, the women in the study had an average (median) urinary iodine concentration of 91 micrograms per litre, and average iodine-to-creatinine ratio of 110 micrograms per litre. About two-thirds of women in the study (67%) were iodine deficient in pregnancy. None of the women was using an iodine supplement.
Compared with mothers with adequate pregnancy iodine, those with iodine deficiency were significantly younger and less educated, but had less exposure to stressful life events in pregnancy.
Compared with children of women with adequate pregnancy iodine levels and after adjustment for confounders, children of women with iodine deficiency were at significantly higher risk of:
- having a verbal IQ score in the lowest quartile (odds ratio 1.58, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09 to 2.30)
- having a reading accuracy score in the lowest quartile (odds ratio 1.69, 95% CI 1.15 to 2.49)
- having a reading comprehension in the lowest quartile (odds ratio 1.54, 95% CI 1.06 to 2.23)
However, there was no significant association between pregnancy iodine deficiency and performance IQ or overall IQ score – only verbal IQ. There was also no significant association between iodine deficiency and reading score or number of words read per minute – only reading accuracy and comprehension.
How did the researchers interpret the results?
The researchers say that their results demonstrate the importance of having adequate iodine intake during early pregnancy. They say that the results “emphasise the risk that iodine deficiency can pose to the developing infant, even in a country classified as only mildly iodine deficient”. The researchers consider iodine deficiency during pregnancy to be an important public health issue that needs attention.
Conclusion
This is a valuable study that demonstrates that in this subsample of a large cohort of pregnant women in the UK, the majority had inadequate iodine levels during pregnancy.
They also found that this deficiency was associated with poorer verbal IQ in their children at the age of eight, and reading accuracy and comprehension at the age of nine.
The study benefits from its relatively large sample size, from the fact that it followed participants up over time and from the fact that it adjusted for extensive confounding factors.
However, there are some limitations to this study:
- As the researchers say, several 24-hour urine collections would have been the ideal way to measure iodine levels, rather than a single measure, but this would be impractical in a large-scale study.
- It would also be useful to continue to reassess the children’s IQ and reading performance at different time points, particularly as the associations were only found for certain measures of IQ and reading ability. Related to this, it is also unclear what impact these differences in verbal IQ and reading accuracy and comprehension would have had on the children’s learning and school performance. Children’s IQs are not thought to be fixed for life but can change over time.
- Studies in other population samples from other countries would be valuable.
The researchers note that a randomised controlled trial assessing the effect of iodine supplementation in pregnant women on child cognitive ability in areas with mild-to-moderate iodine deficiency would be valuable. They say that they hope to run such a trial in the UK, as current evidence from trials in this area is weak.
Overall, the study highlights the need for pregnant women to obtain sufficient iodine during pregnancy. The World Health Organization recommends that pregnant and breastfeeding women consume 250 micrograms of iodine a day.
Dietary sources of iodine include dairy products and fish. Pregnant or breastfeeding women who are unable or unwilling to eat these types of iodine-rich dietary sources may need supplements.
If you are pregnant or breastfeeding and are concerned about your iodine levels, speak to your GP or midwife before taking supplements. Supplements will not be suitable for every woman.
Analysis by Bazian. Edited by NHS Choices. Follow Behind the Headlines on Twitter.
Links To The Headlines
Mothers' diets may harm IQs in two-thirds of babies. The Independent, May 22 2013
Iodine deficiency 'may lower UK children's IQ'. BBC News, May 22 2013
Women who drink organic milk in pregnancy could be harming their baby's IQ. Mail Online, May 22 2013
Enough iodine vital in pregnancy – study. The Guardian, May 22 2013
Links To Science
Bath SC, Steer CD, Golding J, et al. Effect of inadequate iodine status in UK pregnant women on cognitive outcomes in their children: results from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) . The Lancet. Published online May 22 2013
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Claims vitamin B prevents Alzheimer's are unproven
'Should you be taking vitamin B to protect against Alzheimer's?,' asks the Daily Mail.
Its question is prompted by new research into whether a daily dose of vitamin B could reduce the loss of brain tissue in people with mild cognitive impairment. Mild cognitive impairment is thought to be a risk factor for developing Alzheimer’s disease.
The researchers were particularly interested in the effects of B vitamins on ‘grey matter’ – brain tissue. Grey matter consists of a complex mixture of nerve cells and is found in regions of the brain associated with higher cognitive functions, such as memory and reasoning. Previous studies have found that in people with Alzheimer’s disease, certain regions of grey matter begin to shrink, and this may contribute towards the symptoms of the disease.
This research clearly shows that grey-matter loss in certain regions of the brain was reduced with B vitamin treatment – and the results were particularly striking in patients with high levels of an amino acid called homocysteine.
However, whether the reduction in grey matter shrinkage caused by the vitamin B treatment reduced the likelihood of participants developing Alzheimer’s disease, is unknown.
Until further trials have confirmed the benefits of B vitamin supplements and found that they outweigh any potential harms, the best way to keep healthy in mind and body is to eat a balanced diet, control your weight and blood pressure, and to take some exercise.
Where did the story come from?
The study was carried out by researchers from the University of Oxford, the University of Warwick, and the University of Oslo, Norway. It was funded by a wide range of charitable organisations and research institutes.
The study was published in the peer-reviewed Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS).
The researchers hold patents on the use of B vitamins to treat Alzheimer’s disease or mild cognitive impairment, meaning they could benefit financially if vitamin B treatments were licensed for this use.
This story was widely reported in the media. The Daily Express went with the headline “The daily vitamin B pill that halts the ravages of dementia” and The Daily Telegraph with “Vitamin B could stave off Alzheimer’s”. Unfortunately, these headlines are a little optimistic, as although the study found that vitamin B reduced loss of grey matter in certain parts of the brain, especially in older people with high levels of the amino acid homocysteine, the effects this reduction had on an individual’s risk of developing Alzheimer’s disease were not assessed.
What kind of research was this?
This was a randomised controlled trial that aimed to determine whether B vitamins are effective in preventing the shrinkage of grey matter in areas of the brain known to be vulnerable to Alzheimer’s disease, especially those regions linked to mental processes.
This was a secondary analysis of data collected in a previous study which found that B vitamins reduce whole volume brain shrinkage.
A randomised controlled trial is the best type of study design to address this question.
What did the research involve?
The researchers randomised 156 elderly volunteers with memory complaints who fulfilled criteria for mild cognitive impairment to receive B vitamin treatment (folic acid 0.8mg/day, vitamin B12 0.5mg/day, vitamin B6 20mg/day) or placebo for 24 months.
Images of the participants’ brains were taken at the start and end of the study using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The researchers compared the images to see whether B vitamins prevented shrinkage of grey matter in areas of the brain affected by the Alzheimer’s disease, especially those regions linked to mental processes.
What were the basic results?
Grey matter volumes were similar at the start of the study in both groups. Over the course of the study, areas of grey matter shrunk in both the placebo and B vitamin groups. However, participants who received B vitamins had less shrinkage of certain areas of grey matter than participants who received placebo.
The researchers report that significant reductions in grey matter loss were seen in some of the regions most affected in Alzheimer’s disease.
The researchers drew on the results of previous research, which has found that levels of an amino acid called homocysteine may play a role in cognitive impairment, Alzheimer’s disease and vascular dementia.
They found that participants with higher homocysteine levels had smaller brain volume, and a faster reduction in brain size.
B vitamin treatment had no effect in participants who had homocysteine levels below the median (average), but significantly reduced grey matter loss in participants with homocysteine levels above the median.
The researchers also monitored changes in participants’ scores on a variety of neuropsychological scales. They found that scores were correlated with grey matter loss in certain regions, some of which shrunk less with vitamin-B treatment than placebo in participants with high homocysteine levels.
Based on these findings, the researchers suggest that changes in vitamin B12 levels that occur with B vitamin treatment leads to a reduction in homocysteine levels. This decreases the rate of grey matter loss. This in turn affects neuropsychological functioning.
How did the researchers interpret the results?
The researchers conclude that, “our results show that B-vitamin supplementation can slow the atrophy [shrinkage] of specific brain regions that are a key component of the Alzheimer’s disease process and that are associated with cognitive decline.”
They go on to suggest that “further B vitamin supplementation trials focusing on elderly subjects with high homocysteine levels are warranted to see if progression to dementia can be prevented.”
Conclusion
This two-year long randomised controlled trial found that B vitamin treatment significantly reduces loss of grey matter in certain regions of the brain in elderly volunteers with mild cognitive impairment. The researchers report that these regions are specifically vulnerable to Alzheimer’s disease. B vitamin treatment was beneficial for the subgroup of participants who had higher than average levels of an amino acid called homocysteine.
This research clearly shows that grey matter loss in certain regions of the brain was reduced with B vitamin treatment. This follows on from the researchers’ previous findings that B vitamin treatment slows brain shrinkage.
However, it is less clear whether the reduction in grey matter actually had any real health impact on individual people. Although the researchers report that loss of grey matter was linked to declining neuropsychological scores, they do not specifically report that participants who received the B vitamins improved their brain function scores. Whether the B vitamin treatment actually prevented Alzheimer’s disease is also unknown.
B vitamins are a recurring focus of Alzheimer’s disease research, and they have been studied in both the prevention and treatment of the disease. This may partly be because vitamin B deficiency can have an effect on brain function.
For more background information about vitamin B, Alzheimer’s, and how it has been reported in the news, read the Behind the Headlines special report on ‘Alzheimer's in the news’
Analysis by Bazian. Edited by NHS Choices. Follow Behind the Headlines on Twitter.
Links To The Headlines
Should you be taking vitamin B to protect against Alzheimer's? Daily Mail, May 21 2013
Vitamin B could stave off Alzheimer's. The Daily Telegraph, May 20 2013
The daily vitamin B pill that fights dementia. Daily Express, May 21 2013
Links To Science
Douaud G, Refsum H, de Jager CA, et al. Preventing Alzheimer's disease-related gray matter atrophy by B-vitamin treatment. PNAS. Published online May 20 2013
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Sharing a bed with your baby ups risk of cot death
"Bed-sharing 'raises cot death risk fivefold'," BBC News reports. The news has featured in much of the media, with headlines based on a large analysis of previous studies into the risk of cot death, or sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), associated with bed-sharing.
Bed-sharing is where babies sleep in the same bed as their parents. It has long been known that bed-sharing with a parent who smokes or has consumed drugs or alcohol increases the risk of SIDS.
This new study aimed to see if bed-sharing still increased the risk of SIDS in the absence of these risk factors.
The researchers found a fivefold increase in the risk of SIDS associated with bed-sharing in breastfed babies who were under three months old, had parents who did not smoke, and when the mother had not had any alcohol or drugs.
The risk of SIDS was even higher when the parents smoked, drank or used drugs.
It is important to note that the researchers did not conclude that babies should not be brought into their parents' bed for comfort and feeding, only that they should not sleep in the same bed as their parents.
It is also important to be aware that the overall risk of SIDS is very small and it is a rare condition. However, there are simple steps parents can take to reduce the risk of SIDS (see box), and it is well worth following this potentially life-saving advice.
Where did the story come from?
The study was carried out by an international team of researchers from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, the University of Glasgow and the Medical Research Council, UK; the Children's University Hospital, Ireland; the University of Auckland, New Zealand; and the University of Muenster, Germany.
No external sources of funding were reported, although the original research this report is based on was funded by a number of governmental bodies, charities and trusts.
The study was published in the peer-reviewed open access medical journal, BMJ Open.
The story was well reported by the media.
What kind of research was this?
This study combined information from individuals in five large case-control studies. These studies had collected data on babies who died from SIDS (cases) and babies of a similar age who were still alive (controls).
The researchers were interested in bed-sharing specifically. The research aimed to resolve the uncertainty over whether there is a risk of SIDS associated with bed-sharing in breastfed babies where neither parent smoked.
What did the research involve?
The researchers combined individual data from studies in the UK, Europe and Australasia. In total, information was collected for 1,472 babies who died from SIDS and 4,679 control infants, all under one year of age. Control infants were randomly selected normal infants of a similar age, from a similar location and born at a similar time.
The researchers estimated the risk associated with bed-sharing in relation to breastfeeding, smoking, and the mother's recent alcohol consumption or illegal drug use. This was after they had controlled for other important risk predictors, including:
- whether the baby slept in the parents' room or elsewhere
- the position in which the baby was put to sleep
- mother's age
- mother's relationship status
- the number of children the mother had had previously
- the baby's birth weight
What were the basic results?
The researchers found that 22.2% of cases and 9.6% of controls reported a history of bed-sharing. Bed-sharing increased the risk of SIDS fivefold (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 5.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.3 to 11.4) compared with room-sharing (assuming the baby was placed on his or her back in a cot in the parents' room) when:
- neither parent smoked
- the mother did not drink
- the baby was less than three months old
- the baby was breastfed, and
- there were no other risk factors
The researchers estimate that the absolute risk of SIDS for room-sharing infants was 0.00008 (eight per 100,000) when neither parent smoked and the baby was less than three months old, breastfed, and had no other risk factors.
Bed-sharing increased the absolute risk of SIDS by 0.15 per 1,000. This means the absolute risk from bed-sharing was 0.00023 (0.23 per 1,000).
Bed-sharing, smoking and alcohol use all increased the risk of SIDS. However, the risks associated with bed-sharing decreased as the baby got older.
How did the researchers interpret the results?
The researchers concluded that, "Bed-sharing for sleep when the parents do not smoke or take alcohol or drugs increases the risk of SIDS. Risks associated with bed-sharing are greatly increased when combined with parental smoking, maternal alcohol consumption and/or drug use. A substantial reduction of SIDS rates could be achieved if parents avoided bed-sharing."
Conclusion
This large case-control study combined information from five studies to investigate the risk of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) associated with bed-sharing.
It found that bed-sharing is associated with a fivefold increase in the risk of SIDS compared with room-sharing for babies who were less than three months old, breastfed, sharing with non-smoking parents, and the mother had not had alcohol or drugs.
Smoking, alcohol and drug use are already recognised risk factors for SIDS and greatly increase the risk associated with bed-sharing.
The researchers have not concluded that babies should not be brought into the parents' bed for comfort and feeding. Rather, they advise that babies should not sleep in their parents' bed. It is also worth highlighting the very small actual risk of SIDS, both for non-sharing and bed-sharing babies.
Although this study was appropriately designed and controlled for, a number of potential factors that could affect the risk of SIDS and the causes of SIDS are not firmly established. This means that there may be other factors responsible for the observed increase in risk associated with bed-sharing.
To decrease the risk of SIDS, current advice recommends:
- putting your baby to sleep on their back – the safest place for them to sleep is in a cot in a room with you for the first six months
- do not smoke
- do not share a bed with your baby, particularly if you have been drinking or have taken drugs
- never sleep with your baby on a sofa
- do not let your baby get too hot and keep your baby's head uncovered
- if possible, breastfeed your baby
Analysis by Bazian. Edited by NHS Choices. Follow Behind the Headlines on Twitter.
Links To The Headlines
Bed-sharing 'raises cot death risk fivefold'. BBC News, May 21 2013
Sudden infant death risk 'is five times higher if the baby sleeps in its parents' bed'. Daily Mail, May 20 2013
Sudden infant death risk greater when parents share bed with babies. The Guardian, May 20 2013
Parents warned sharing bed with babies increases risk of cot death. The Independent, May 21 2013
Sharing bed with babies raises cot death risk. The Daily Telegraph, May 20 2013
Cot Death Risks Of Babies Bed Sharing. Sky News, May 21 2013
Links To Science
Carpenter R, McGarvey C, Mitchell EA, et al. Bed sharing when parents do not smoke: is there a risk of SIDS? An individual level analysis of five major case–control studies. BMJ Open. Published online May 20 2013
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Job stress may raise our 'bad cholesterol' levels
'A stressful job really can kill you – by raising your cholesterol,' reports the Mail Online website. This headline is based on Spanish research that looked at the relationship between job stress and lipid (fat) levels in the blood of more than 90,000 people.
The research found that people who reported difficulties coping with their job had higher levels of what has been dubbed "bad cholesterol" (LDL cholesterol) and lower levels of "good cholesterol" (HDL cholesterol). High levels of LDL cholesterol can clog up the arteries, increasing an individual's risk of developing cardiovascular diseases such as coronary heart disease.
A significant strength of this study is its size – an impressive 90,000 people participated. But the study did not look at diet, which can also affect cholesterol levels. It could well be the case that people in stressful jobs tend to have unhealthy diets and it is this, rather than stress itself, that is to blame for their higher "bad" cholesterol rates.
While increased LDL levels are a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, this study did not explore the effect this would have on people's long-term health. The Mail Online's claim that a stressful job will kill you is therefore not supported by this study.
Where did the story come from?
The study was carried out by researchers from Ibermutuamur – a mutual insurance company dealing with work-related accidents and occupational illnesses – and two universities in Spain. There were no external sources of funding for the study.
It was published in the peer-reviewed Scandinavian Journal of Public Health.
The Mail Online's headline over-interprets the research, as the study did not assess whether people in stressful jobs were more likely to die. The body of the story was reasonably accurate, but it did not highlight that this type of study cannot prove that one factor is definitely causing another.
What kind of research was this?
This was a cross-sectional study that explored whether there is a link between job stress and abnormal levels of fats (lipids) in the blood.
Some studies have found a link between job stress and an increased risk of coronary disease. There are various theories about how this link might come about – for example, by stress increasing the likelihood of unhealthy habits such as smoking.
Some studies have also suggested that stress could directly influence levels of lipids in the blood by possibly adversely affecting the body's metabolism. However, these studies have been small and in selected populations, and have had mixed results.
In the current study, researchers wanted to assess stress and lipid levels in a large representative sample of workers. As this study is cross-sectional, both stress and lipid levels were assessed at the same time. This means the study cannot establish whether participants' lipid levels were directly influenced by their stress levels.
What did the research involve?
The study involved workers covered by the Ibermutuamur insurance company who had yearly medical check-ups. More than 430,000 participants were recruited between 2005 and 2007, and a study questionnaire was sent out to more than 100,000 randomly selected individuals. Completed questionnaires were returned by 91,593 of these people.
The questionnaire included the question, "During the last year, have you frequently felt that you cannot cope with your usual job?". Participants who answered "yes" were considered to have job stress.
The questionnaire also included 11 questions relating to anxiety and depression symptoms, such as "Have you felt keyed up, on edge?" and "Have you had difficulty relaxing?".
The researchers took fasting blood samples from participants and measured levels of total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol (so-called "good" cholesterol), and levels of a type of lipid called triglycerides. The levels of so-called "bad" cholesterol were calculated based on these measurements.
Participants were classed as having abnormal lipid levels based on pre-specified levels if they reported taking lipid-lowering medication or had been diagnosed as having abnormal lipid levels.
The researchers then looked at whether abnormal lipid levels are linked to job stress. They took into account the following confounders:
- age
- gender
- smoking
- basic measures of alcohol consumption and physical leisure activity
- obesity
- type of job ("blue collar" or "white collar")
What were the basic results?
Job stress was reported by 8.7% of participants. Participants reporting job stress also had higher levels of anxiety and depression symptoms.
After the researchers took into account factors that could affect the results and adjusted them accordingly, people who reported job stress were found to have 10% higher odds of having abnormal lipid levels (odds ratio [OR] 1.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04 to 1.17).
They also had increased odds of:
- high levels of "bad" cholesterol (LDL)
- low levels of "good" cholesterol (HDL)
- a high total cholesterol to "good" cholesterol ratio
- a high "bad" cholesterol to "good" cholesterol ratio
How did the researchers interpret the results?
The researchers concluded that their results support an association between job stress and abnormal lipid levels in the blood.
Conclusion
This study has found an association between job stress and abnormal lipid levels in the blood. Its strengths include the large number of workers assessed (more than 40,000) and the use of the same methods to assess all of the participants.
However, the fact that both job stress and lipid levels were assessed at the same time means it is not possible to say for certain whether job stress might have directly caused changes in blood lipid levels.
There are also other limitations and points to note:
- The study did not assess diet. People with job stress may have less healthy diets, which could account for the differences seen in the blood lipid levels, rather than these differences being a direct impact of job stress.
- Job stress was assessed by a single question, which may not fully capture all aspects of job stress. Also, different people may consider different things stressful, and the question did not disentangle the exact stressful workplace situations and an individual's ability to cope with them.
- Workers who were off sick would not have had the routine medical check-up. This means the sample may have missed some people with more serious health problems with stress.
- The authors acknowledge that the effect of job stress seen is relatively small – a 10% increase in the odds of having abnormal lipid levels.
Overall, it is not clear from this study whether stress is a direct cause of the increased lipid levels seen. Studies looking at whether interventions to reduce work stress can reduce lipid levels in the blood would provide an indication if this is in fact the case.
Despite these limitations, there is a wide range of good quality evidence that workplace stress can have a harmful effect on your physical and mental health.
While some people may thrive on pressure, persistent high levels of stress are likely to be harmful.
Read more about what you can do to reduce your levels of workplace stress.
Analysis by Bazian. Edited by NHS Choices. Follow Behind the Headlines on Twitter.Links To The Headlines
A stressful job really CAN kill you - by raising your cholesterol. Mail Online, May 17 2013
Links To Science
Catalina-Romero C, Calvo E, Sánchez-Chaparro MA, et al. The relationship between job stress and dyslipidemia. The Scandinavian Journal of Public Health. Published online January 2 2013
